MARC details
| 000 -LEADER |
|---|
| fixed length control field |
04571namaa22004211i 4500 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER |
|---|
| control field |
OSt |
| 005 - أخر تعامل مع التسجيلة |
|---|
| control field |
20241021102535.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
|---|
| fixed length control field |
241017s2023 |||a|||fr|m|| 000 0 eng d |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
|---|
| Original cataloguing agency |
EG-GICUC |
| Language of cataloging |
eng |
| Transcribing agency |
EG-GICUC |
| Modifying agency |
EG-GICUC |
| Description conventions |
rda |
| 041 0# - LANGUAGE CODE |
|---|
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title |
eng |
| Language code of summary or abstract |
eng |
| -- |
ara |
| 049 ## - Acquisition Source |
|---|
| Acquisition Source |
Deposit |
| 082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
|---|
| Classification number |
519 |
| 092 ## - LOCALLY ASSIGNED DEWEY CALL NUMBER (OCLC) |
|---|
| Classification number |
519 |
| Edition number |
21 |
| 097 ## - Degree |
|---|
| Degree |
M.Sc |
| 099 ## - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC) |
|---|
| Local Call Number |
Cai01.03.01.M.Sc.2023.As.A |
| 100 0# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Authority record control number or standard number |
Asmaa Ali Fathy Abuhagar, |
| Preparation |
preparation. |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT |
|---|
| Title |
Short Time Series Forecasting : |
| Remainder of title |
A Comparative Study / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc. |
by Asmaa Ali Fathy Abuhagar ; Supervised by Prof. Mohamed Ali Ismail, Prof. Abd-Elnaser Saad Abd-Rabou, Prof. Hend Abdul-Ghaffar Auda |
| 246 15 - VARYING FORM OF TITLE |
|---|
| Title proper/short title |
التنبؤ بالسلاسل الزمنية القصيرة : |
| Remainder of title |
دراسة مقارنة / |
| 264 #0 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE |
|---|
| Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice |
2023. |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
|---|
| Extent |
62 pages : |
| Other physical details |
illustrations ; |
| Dimensions |
25 cm. + |
| Accompanying material |
CD. |
| 336 ## - CONTENT TYPE |
|---|
| Content type term |
text |
| Source |
rda content |
| 337 ## - MEDIA TYPE |
|---|
| Media type term |
Unmediated |
| Source |
rdamedia |
| 338 ## - CARRIER TYPE |
|---|
| Carrier type term |
volume |
| Source |
rdacarrier |
| 502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE |
|---|
| Dissertation note |
Thesis (M.Sc.)-Cairo University, 2023. |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE |
|---|
| Bibliography, etc. note |
Bibliography: pages 52-57. |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
|---|
| Summary, etc. |
Time series forecasting is predicting of future values based on previously observed values. It<br/>has extensive applications in many fields. Many time series data sets contain less than or equal<br/>thirty observations especially in developing countries like EGYPT. These data sets don’t fulfill<br/>the traditional assumptions. Box and Jenkins analysis assumed that the sample size should be<br/>at least 50 observations to build a suitable model. Many methods were used in Short Time<br/>Series Forecasting such as Exponential Smoothing Methods, Autoregressive Integrated<br/>Moving Average (ARIMA) Models, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and Grey-Markov<br/>Model(1,1) in the previous literature. Previous studies compared them and usually used one<br/>real data set or limited simulated data. The aim of this study is to review short time series<br/>forecasting methods and compare between these four methods and the Robust Rank-Based<br/>Estimation (R Estimate) Method to forecast short time series data using the global data set in R<br/>software (M4-Competition dataset). |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
|---|
| Summary, etc. |
التنبؤ بالسلاسل الزمنية هو التنبؤ بالقيم المستقبلية بناءً على القيم التي تمت ملاحظتها سابقًا. وله تطبيقات واسعة في العديد من المجالات. تحتوي العديد من قواعد البيانات للسلاسل الزمنية على أقل من أو يساوي ثلاثين مشاهدة، خاصة في البلدان النامية مثل مصر. هذه القواعد لا تفي بالافتراضات التقليدية حيث افترض تحليل Box and Jenkins أن حجم العينة يجب أن يكون على الأقل 50 مشاهدة لبناء نموذج مناسب. هناك العديد من الطرق المستخدمة في التنبؤ بالسلاسل الزمنية القصيرة مثل طرق التمهيد الأسية ونماذج الانحدار الذاتي-المتوسطات المتحركة التكاملية ونماذج الشبكات العصبية الاصطناعية ونموذج جراي ماركوف (1,1) في الدراسات السابقة. وقد قامت الدراسات السابقة بمقارنتها وعادة ما تستخدم قاعدة بيانات حقيقية واحدة أو قاعدة بيانات محاكاة محدودة. الهدف من هذه الدراسة هو مراجعة طرق التنبؤ بالسلاسل الزمنية القصيرة ومقارنة هذه الطرق الأربعة وطريقة التقدير المحصن المبني على أساس الرتب للتنبؤ بالسلاسل الزمنية القصيرة باستخدام قاعدة البيانات العالمية في البرنامج الاحصائي R (قاعدة بيانات M4-Competition). |
| 530 ## - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM AVAILABLE NOTE |
|---|
| Issues CD |
Issued also as CD |
| 546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE |
|---|
| Text Language |
Text in English and abstract in Arabic & English. |
| 650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name entry element |
Statistics |
| Source of heading or term |
qrmak |
| 653 #0 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED |
|---|
| Uncontrolled term |
Short Time Series Forecasting |
| -- |
Exponential Smoothing Methods |
| -- |
ARIMA Models |
| -- |
Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) |
| -- |
Grey-Markov Model(1,1) |
| 700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Mohamed Ali Ismail |
| Relator term |
thesis advisor. |
| 700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Abd-Elnaser Saad Abd-Rabou |
| Relator term |
thesis advisor. |
| 700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Hend Abdul-Ghaffar Auda |
| Relator term |
thesis advisor. |
| 900 ## - Thesis Information |
|---|
| Grant date |
01-01-2023 |
| Supervisory body |
Mohamed Ali Ismail |
| -- |
Abd-Elnaser Saad Abd-Rabou |
| -- |
Hend Abdul-Ghaffar Auda |
| Universities |
Cairo University |
| Faculties |
Faculty of conomics and Political Science |
| Department |
Department of Statistics |
| 905 ## - Cataloger and Reviser Names |
|---|
| Cataloger Name |
Eman Ghareeb |
| Reviser Names |
Huda |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
|---|
| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
Dewey Decimal Classification |
| Koha item type |
Thesis |
| Edition |
21 |
| Suppress in OPAC |
No |
