Forecasting hourly electricity demand in Egypt : (Record no. 55268)
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| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 02490cam a2200337 a 4500 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
| control field | EG-GiCUC |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20250223031433.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 160301s2015 ua d f m 000 0 eng d |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE | |
| Original cataloging agency | EG-GiCUC |
| Language of cataloging | eng |
| Transcribing agency | EG-GiCUC |
| 041 0# - LANGUAGE CODE | |
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title | eng |
| 049 ## - LOCAL HOLDINGS (OCLC) | |
| Holding library | Deposite |
| 097 ## - Thesis Degree | |
| Thesis Level | M.Sc |
| 099 ## - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC) | |
| Classification number | Cai01.03.01.M.Sc.2015.Em.F |
| 100 0# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Eman Mahmoud Abdelmetaal |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | Forecasting hourly electricity demand in Egypt : |
| Remainder of title | A double seasonality approach / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc. | Eman Mahmoud Abdelmetaal ; Supervised Mohamed Ali Ismail , Alyaa Roshdy Zahran |
| 246 15 - VARYING FORM OF TITLE | |
| Title proper/short title | التنبؤ بالطلب على الكهرباء كل ساعة فى مصر : |
| Remainder of title | نهج الموسمية المزدوجة |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc. | Cairo : |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. | Eman Mahmoud Abdelmetaal , |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. | 2015 |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
| Extent | 79 P. : |
| Other physical details | charts ; |
| Dimensions | 25cm |
| 502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE | |
| Dissertation note | Thesis (M.Sc.) - Cairo University - Faculty of Economics and Political Science - Department of Statistics |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | Electricity is an important public service for any nation. Forecasting methods are critical concerning future technical improvements. An accurate hour forecast is a vital process to balance electricity produced and electricity consumed at any time in the day. A notable feature of the electricity demand time series is the presence of both intraday and intraweek seasonal cycles. Recently, Double seasonal models and methods have been used all over the world for forecasting electricity demand. A double seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, a double seasonal Holt-Winters method and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are proposed in the literature to capture the double seasonal pattern of the time series. These three forecasting methods were employed in forecasting hourly electricity demand in Egypt. The forecasts produced by these methods are accurate. Double seasonal Holt-Winters method is the best for different time horizons. Double Seasonal Holt-Winters method and Double Seasonal ARIMA model outperformed ANN in short lead times up to two weeks ahead. While for longer time horizons, double seasonal ARIMA is outperformed by ANN |
| 530 ## - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM AVAILABLE NOTE | |
| Additional physical form available note | Issued also as CD |
| 653 #4 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED | |
| Uncontrolled term | Artificial Neural Networks |
| 653 #4 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED | |
| Uncontrolled term | Double Seasonal ARIMA models |
| 653 #4 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED | |
| Uncontrolled term | Double Seasonal Exponential Smoothing method |
| 700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Alyaa Roshdy Zahran , |
| Relator term | |
| 700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Mohamed Ali Ismail , |
| Relator term | |
| 856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="http://172.23.153.220/th.pdf">http://172.23.153.220/th.pdf</a> |
| 905 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT E, LDE (RLIN) | |
| Cataloger | Aml |
| Reviser | Cataloger |
| 905 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT E, LDE (RLIN) | |
| Cataloger | Nazla |
| Reviser | Revisor |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
| Source of classification or shelving scheme | Dewey Decimal Classification |
| Koha item type | Thesis |
| Source of classification or shelving scheme | Not for loan | Home library | Current library | Date acquired | Full call number | Barcode | Date last seen | Koha item type | Copy number |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewey Decimal Classification | المكتبة المركزبة الجديدة - جامعة القاهرة | قاعة الرسائل الجامعية - الدور الاول | 11.02.2024 | Cai01.03.01.M.Sc.2015.Em.F | 01010110067955000 | 22.09.2023 | Thesis | ||
| Dewey Decimal Classification | المكتبة المركزبة الجديدة - جامعة القاهرة | مخـــزن الرســائل الجـــامعية - البدروم | 11.02.2024 | Cai01.03.01.M.Sc.2015.Em.F | 01020110067955000 | 22.09.2023 | CD - Rom | 67955.CD |