Real exchange rate misalignments, trade imbalances and output gap : (Record no. 55824)
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000 -LEADER | |
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fixed length control field | 03119cam a2200325 a 4500 |
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
control field | EG-GiCUC |
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
control field | 20250223031449.0 |
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
fixed length control field | 160403s2015 ua d f m 000 0 eng d |
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE | |
Original cataloging agency | EG-GiCUC |
Language of cataloging | eng |
Transcribing agency | EG-GiCUC |
041 0# - LANGUAGE CODE | |
Language code of text/sound track or separate title | eng |
049 ## - LOCAL HOLDINGS (OCLC) | |
Holding library | Deposite |
097 ## - Thesis Degree | |
Thesis Level | Ph.D |
099 ## - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC) | |
Classification number | Cai01.03.02.Ph.D.2015.Ra.R |
100 0# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | Rana Hosni Ismail Ahmed |
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
Title | Real exchange rate misalignments, trade imbalances and output gap : |
Remainder of title | An empirical analysis for Egypt / |
Statement of responsibility, etc. | Rana Hosni Ismail Ahmed ; Supervised Alaa Elshazly |
246 15 - VARYING FORM OF TITLE | |
Title proper/short title | انحراف سعر الصرف الحقيقى اختلال الميزان التجارى وفجوة الناتج : |
Remainder of title | دراسة تطبيقية للاقتصاد المصرى |
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
Place of publication, distribution, etc. | Cairo : |
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. | Rana Hosni Ismail Ahmed , |
Date of publication, distribution, etc. | 2015 |
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
Extent | 220 P. : |
Other physical details | charts ; |
Dimensions | 25cm |
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE | |
Dissertation note | Thesis (Ph.D.) - Cairo University - Faculty of Economics and Political Science - Department of Economics |
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
Summary, etc. | This study explores whether real exchange rate misalignment has any effects on the trade balance and output gap in Egypt during the period (1974-2012). In order to empirically examine the link between exchange rate misalignment and trade balance during this period, time-series econometric tools including unit root tests, co-integration analysis and vector error correction model are employed. The empirical results show that there exists a negative relationship between the misalignment of the real exchange rate and the trade balance in Egypt. A deviation of the actual real effective exchange rate from its equilibrium level by 1 percent leads to a deterioration of the trade balance that ranges between 0.03 and 0.07 percent. Both undervaluation and overvaluation of the Egyptian pound may negatively affect the performance of trade balance based on the misalignment model used. Also, there is no evidence for the presence of the J-curve hypothesis in the case of Egypt. The generalized method of moments is used to quantify the effect of real exchange rate misalignment on output gap during the same period. The findings suggest a weak positive relationship between the two variables. In particular, a 1 percent increase in misalignment has an impact that does not exceed 0.07 percent on output gap. As regards the effects of undervaluation and overvaluation indices, they all seem, though weakly, to impact the output gap positively in the Egyptian case. These findings suggest that if Egypt wants to reap benefits from its overall economic reform process, efforts for redirecting monetary policy towards correcting exchange rate misalignments should be motivated. Moreover, industry and other productive sectors modernization should be at the top of the Egyptian policy agenda to promote exports and improve the trade balance. |
530 ## - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM AVAILABLE NOTE | |
Additional physical form available note | Issued also as CD |
653 #4 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED | |
Uncontrolled term | Output Gap |
653 #4 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED | |
Uncontrolled term | Real Exchange Rate Misalignment |
653 #4 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED | |
Uncontrolled term | Trade Balance |
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | Alaa Elshazly , |
Relator term | |
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="http://172.23.153.220/th.pdf">http://172.23.153.220/th.pdf</a> |
905 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT E, LDE (RLIN) | |
Cataloger | Nazla |
Reviser | Revisor |
905 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT E, LDE (RLIN) | |
Cataloger | Soheir |
Reviser | Cataloger |
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
Source of classification or shelving scheme | Dewey Decimal Classification |
Koha item type | Thesis |
Source of classification or shelving scheme | Not for loan | Home library | Current library | Date acquired | Full call number | Barcode | Date last seen | Koha item type | Copy number |
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Dewey Decimal Classification | المكتبة المركزبة الجديدة - جامعة القاهرة | قاعة الرسائل الجامعية - الدور الاول | 11.02.2024 | Cai01.03.02.Ph.D.2015.Ra.R | 01010110068420000 | 22.09.2023 | Thesis | ||
Dewey Decimal Classification | المكتبة المركزبة الجديدة - جامعة القاهرة | مخـــزن الرســائل الجـــامعية - البدروم | 11.02.2024 | Cai01.03.02.Ph.D.2015.Ra.R | 01020110068420000 | 22.09.2023 | CD - Rom | 68420.CD |