Adel Abdallah Abdellatif Elsherif

Towards a construction of coincident and leading indicators of economic activity in Egypt / نحو بناء المؤشرات المصاحبة والقائدة للنشاط الاقتصادى المصرى Adel Abdallah Abdellatif Elsherif ; Supervised Ghazal Abdelaziz Amer , Sayed Mesheal Elsayed - Cairo : Adel Abdallah Abdellatif Elsherif , 2009 - 225Leaves : charts ; 30cm

Thesis (Ph.D.) - Cairo University - Institute of Statistical Studies and Research - Department of Statistics and Econometrics

Time series of economic activity in developing countries in particular real GDP are erported with important lags . Therefore it is useful to construct indicators that coincide or lead the actual direction and level of economic activity . A general methodology to construct these indicators is proposed and adapted for Egypt. Four coincident indicators could be constructed but not reliable leading indicator could be found



Coincident indicators Composite indicators Leading indicators