Conceptual and validation study for short term load forecasting approach realizing smart grid energy management /
دراسة مبدأ وتحقق طريقة للتنبؤ بالأحمال عل ىالمدى القصير محققاً لنظام التحكم بالطاقه فى الشبكات الذكية
Amr Ahmed Aydarous Mohamed ; Supervised Mohamed A. Moustafa Hassan , Mostafa A. Elshahed
- Cairo : Amr Ahmed Aydarous Mohamed , 2018
- 208 P. : charts , facsimiles ; 25cm
Thesis (M.Sc.) - Cairo University - Faculty of Engineering - Department of Electrical Power and Machines
The energy sector is one of the major sectors where big steps can be taken towards a sustainable future. This thesis represents a study to determine the most effective and accurate technique for Short Term Load Forecasting (STLF) that can be done through Integrated Intelligent Energy Management processes for Smart Grid. The Load Forecasting shall be based on the historical data only. This study compared the results of 56 different scenarios in the number of inputs, different algorithms, and input method. ANN, PSO, MAACPSO, and ANFIS were used as different algorithms. Different input methods include a new proposed method which considers Multi Stages Forecasting. Study verification is done by testing versus other practical STLF methods using traditional inputs.The proposed method results are auspicious with reduced Mean Absolute Error
Energy management Evolutionary optimization techniques Multi stages forecasting