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003 EG-GiCUC
008 150421s2014 ua f m 000 0 eng d
040 _aEG-GiCUC
_beng
_cEG-GiCUC
041 0 _aeng
049 _aDeposite
097 _aM.Sc
099 _aCai01.05.03.M.Sc.2014.Ah.P
100 0 _aAhmed Mohammed Nagy Mohamed Osman
245 1 0 _aPrediction error in reserving methods applied to comprehensive motor insurance /
_cAhmed Mohammed Nagy Mohamed Osman ; Supervised Ibrahim Mohamed Morgan
246 1 5 _aالتنبؤ بالخطأ فى أساليب تقدير المخصصات الفنية فى التأمينات العامة بالتطبيق على فرع السيارات التكميلى
260 _aCairo :
_bAhmed Mohammed Nagy Mohamed Osman ,
_c2014
300 _a94 Leaves ;
_c30cm
502 _aThesis (M.Sc.) - Cairo University - Faculty of Commerce - Department of Mathematics and Insurance
520 _aAccording to the unified actuarial report required by the Egyptian financial supervisory authority (EFSA), the claim reserve estimation process carried by the actuaries is performed using the deterministic models without explicit reference to a stochastic model. However, stochastic models are needed in order to assess the variability of the claims reserve. The main objective of this thesis is to analyze claims reserving methodologies in general insurance in order to assess several discrepancies between deterministic and stochastic models applied to motor comprehensive insurance branch. The chain - ladder (CL) reserve estimation method is one of the most popular claims reserving methods. It is very important to know how accurate the resulting deterministic estimates are. In this thesis, the deterministic claim reserving model as well as the stochastic one in general insurance has been introduced, along with the difference between the stochastic models over the traditional deterministic models, and the comprehensive motor insurance data from an Egyptian public insurance company is analyzed and thetheoretical prediction error for the chain-ladder model is calculated
530 _aIssued also as CD
653 4 _aComprehensive motor insurance
653 4 _aFinancial supervisory authority
653 4 _aReserving methods applied
700 0 _aIbrahim Mohamed Morgan ,
_eSupervisor
905 _aNazla
_eRevisor
905 _aSamia
_eCataloger
942 _2ddc
_cTH
999 _c50540
_d50540