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040 _aEG-GiCUC
_beng
_cEG-GiCUC
041 0 _aeng
049 _aDeposite
097 _aM.Sc
099 _aCai01.16.03.M.Sc.2020.Sa.E
100 0 _aSamar Salah Ghonem
245 1 0 _aEvaluation of the forecasting of climatic extreme events over Sudan by using regional climate model (RGCM) /
_cSamar Salah Ghonem ; Supervised Fawzia Ibrahim Moursy , Elsayed Abdel Hamid Robaa , Gamil Gamal Abdelmotey
246 1 5 _aالتقييم و التنبؤ بالظواهر المناخية الحادة على السودان باستخدام نموذج المناخ الاقليمى
260 _aCairo :
_bSamar Salah Ghonem ,
_c2020
300 _a96 P. :
_bcharts , facsimiles ;
_c25cm
502 _aThesis (M.Sc.) - Cairo University - Faculty of African Postgraduate Studies - Department of Natural Resources
520 _aOne of the great challenges of weather and climate science is estimating the probability of the occurrence, severity and duration of an extreme event, as well as its severity and duration, and when and where the event will take place. So, prolonged droughts and flooding are extreme environmental events that can invoke severe economic cost, societal disruption, death and destruction advanced warning of an extreme events allows for preparation, possible evacuation and the marshalling of emergency systems and personnel to help in the mitigation of its effects. Society is accustomed to dealing with climate variations. Agriculture, water management, and many other human actions are already planned to consider the seasonal march. However, as population grows, society is progressively susceptible to climate differences at diverse spatial and temporal scales, but mainly important are those related with extreme events (Cavazos 1999). Extreme weather and climate events have received increased attention in the last few years, due to the often-large loss of human life and exponentially increasing costs associated with them (Karl and Easterling 1999). A varying climate leads to variations in the incidence, strength, spatial extent, period, and timing of extreme weather and climate events, and can result in unparalleled extreme weather and climate events. Fluctuations in extremes can be connected to changes in the mean, variance, or shape of probability distributions, or all of these (Figure 1.1). Numerous extreme weather and climate events remain to be the result of natural climate variability. Natural variability will be a significant issue in shaping future extremes in adding to the effect of anthropogenic changes in climate
530 _aIssued also as CD
653 4 _aClimate Change
653 4 _aEvaluation of The Forecasting of Climatie Extreme Events
653 4 _aRegional Climate Models
700 0 _aElsayed Abdel Hamid Robaa ,
_eSupervisor
700 0 _aFawzia Ibrahim Moursy ,
_eSupervisor
700 0 _aGamil Gamal Abdelmotey ,
_eSupervisor
856 _uhttp://172.23.153.220/th.pdf
905 _aNazla
_eRevisor
905 _aShimaa
_eCataloger
942 _2ddc
_cTH
999 _c78819
_d78819