Drivers of Currency Crises in Egypt : (Record no. 171905)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 04888namaa22004331i 4500
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field OSt
005 - أخر تعامل مع التسجيلة
control field 20250506120933.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 250505s2024 ua a|||fr|m|| 000 0 eng d
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloguing agency EG-GICUC
Language of cataloging eng
Transcribing agency EG-GICUC
Modifying agency EG-GICUC
Description conventions rda
041 0# - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
Language code of summary or abstract eng
-- ara
043 ## - GEOGRAPHIC AREA CODE
Geographic area code f-ua---
049 ## - Acquisition Source
Acquisition Source Deposit
082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 330
092 ## - LOCALLY ASSIGNED DEWEY CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
Classification number 330
Edition number 21
097 ## - Degree
Degree M.Sc
099 ## - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
Local Call Number Cai01.03.02.M.Sc.2024.Mo.D.
100 0# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Authority record control number or standard number Mona Hamdy Abdel Maboud Abdel Rasol,
Preparation preparation.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Drivers of Currency Crises in Egypt :
Remainder of title A Political-Economy Approach /
Statement of responsibility, etc. By Mona Hamdy Abdel Maboud Abdel Rasol; Under Supervision of Prof. Dr. Mona E. Fayed, Dr. Asmaa M. Ezzat
246 15 - VARYING FORM OF TITLE
Title proper/short title محفزات أزمات العملة في مصر :
Remainder of title تحليل اقتصادي - سياسي /
264 #0 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice 2024.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 118 pages :
Other physical details illustrations ;
Dimensions 25 cm. +
Accompanying material CD.
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE
Content type term text
Source rda content
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE
Media type term Unmediated
Source rdamedia
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE
Carrier type term volume
Source rdacarrier
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (M.Sc.)-Cairo University, 2024.
504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE
Bibliography, etc. note Bibliography: pages 72-87.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. In light of the repeated incidence of currency crises in Egypt, this study attempts to contribute <br/>to the existing empirical literature on drivers of currency crises in Egypt by accounting for <br/>political-economy variables, along with economic ones, to assess their role in explaining and <br/>predicting the incidence of currency crises in Egypt. To this end, a probit analysis is employed to <br/>investigate the link between political-economy variables and the onset of currency crises in Egypt <br/>over the period 1977-2021, after controlling for the relevant economic variables. The results show <br/>that political-economy variables can explain and forecast the advent of a currency crisis in Egypt. <br/>The estimation findings suggest that low degrees of democracy, the adoption of fixed exchange <br/>rate regimes, and the absence of capital controls increase the likelihood of incidence of crises in <br/>Egypt. In addition, it is evident that accounting for these political-economy variables, along with <br/>the economic ones, improves the ability to forecast currency crises. The results also suggest the <br/>incidence of currency crises in Egypt is associated with an overvaluation of the real exchange rate, <br/>a decline in foreign exchange reserves, a fall in portfolio investments/GDP, as well as a high level <br/>of external debt.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. في ظل تكرار حدوث أزمات العملة في مصر، تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى سد الفجوة في البحث التجريبي عن محفزات أزمات العملة في مصر من خلال تضمين متغيرات الاقتصاد السياسي، إلى جانب المتغيرات الاقتصادية، لتقييم دورها في تفسير والتنبؤ بحدوث أزمات العملة في مصر. ولتحقيق هذه الغاية، قدّرت الدراسة نموذج Probit لتقييم مدى ارتباط متغيرات الاقتصاد السياسي بحدوث أزمات العملة في مصر خلال الفترة 1977-2021، وذلك بعد الأخذ في الاعتبار المتغيرات الاقتصادية ذات الصلة. أظهرت النتائج أن متغيرات الاقتصاد السياسي يمكنها تفسير والتنبؤ بحدوث أزمات العملة في مصر. فنتائج التقدير تشير إلى أن انخفاض درجة الديمقراطية، وتبني أنظمة أسعار الصرف الثابت، وغياب ضوابط رأس المال يزيد من احتمال حدوث الأزمات في مصر. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، يتضح أن أخذ متغيرات الاقتصاد السياسي هذه في الاعتبار -بجانب المتغيرات الاقتصادية- يحسن من القدرة على التنبؤ بأزمات العملة في مصر. وتشير النتائج أيضاً إلى أن حدوث أزمات العملة في مصر يرتبط بوجود سعر صرف حقيقي مبالغ في قيمته، وتراجع احتياطيات النقد الأجنبي، وانخفاض استثمارات المحافظ/الناتج المحلي الإجمالي، فضلاً عن ارتفاع مستوى الدين الخارجي.
530 ## - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM AVAILABLE NOTE
Issues CD Issued also as CD
546 ## - LANGUAGE NOTE
Text Language Text in English and abstract in Arabic & English.
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Economy
Source of heading or term qrmak
653 #0 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED
Uncontrolled term Currency Crises
-- Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) index
-- Political-Economy
-- Probit model
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Mona E. Fayed
Relator term thesis advisor.
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Asmaa M. Ezzat
Relator term thesis advisor.
900 ## - Thesis Information
Grant date 01-01-2024
Supervisory body Mona E. Fayed
-- Asmaa M. Ezzat
Universities Cairo University
Faculties Faculty of Economics and Political Science
Department Department of Economics
905 ## - Cataloger and Reviser Names
Cataloger Name Nourhan
Reviser Names Eman Ghareb
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Koha item type Thesis
Edition 21
Suppress in OPAC No
Holdings
Source of classification or shelving scheme Home library Current library Date acquired Inventory number Full call number Barcode Date last seen Effective from Koha item type
Dewey Decimal Classification المكتبة المركزبة الجديدة - جامعة القاهرة قاعة الرسائل الجامعية - الدور الاول 05.05.2025 91102 Cai01.03.02.M.Sc.2024.Mo.D. 01010110091102000 05.05.2025 05.05.2025 Thesis
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