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003 EG-GiCUC
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008 150420s2014 ua f m 000 0 eng d
040 _aEG-GiCUC
_beng
_cEG-GiCUC
041 0 _aeng
049 _aDeposite
097 _aPh.D
099 _aCai01.05.01.Ph.D.2014.Sa.S
100 0 _aSarah Sobhy Mohamed Hassan
245 1 2 _aA suggested model for explaining investors behaviours in Egyptian stock exchange market :
_bBehavioral approach /
_cSarah Sobhy Mohamed Hassan ; Supervised Yousri Khalefa , David MacMillan
246 1 5 _aنموذج مقترح لتفسير سلوك المستثمرين فى بورصة الأوراق المالية المصرية :
_bمدخل سلوكى
260 _aCairo :
_bSarah Sobhy Mohamed Hassan ,
_c2014
300 _a143 Leaves ;
_c25cm
502 _aThesis (Ph.D.) - Cairo University - Faculty of Commerce - Department of Business Administration
520 _aA large number of empirical research over the past three decades have discovered that firm's expected return can be discernable form it's past stock price performance. In the current research, Firstly, I investigate the existence of two important phenomenon overreaction and under reaction phenomena, and whether these phenomena are accompanied with two main behavioural biases conservatism and representativeness biases. Trends and consistency have been used as proxies for conservatism and representativeness phenomena in Egyptian stock market over the period extended from 2000 - 2013. Secondly, extrapolative expectation model has been suggested as a suitable model for describing investors expectations in the real world. Using autoregressive model, certain steps have been followed to describe investors behaviours in Egyptian stock exchange market. It has been shown that there is positive autocorrelation in stock returns over a short horizon period (3 months - one year). However, over a long horizon period (3 years) reversal pattern is the most common pattern in the market. Portfolio analysis confirms the same results momentum portfolio yields positive returns over short period and negative returns over long period. On the other hand, it concludes that autoregressive model has the ability to describe data generating process of stock returns more than the traditional asset pricing models
530 _aIssued also as CD
653 4 _aMomentum pattern
653 4 _aOverreaction
653 4 _aReversal pattern
700 0 _aDavid MacMillan ,
_eSupervisor
700 0 _aYousri Khalefa ,
_eSupervisor
856 _uhttp://172.23.153.220/th.pdf
905 _aNazla
_eRevisor
905 _aSamia
_eCataloger
942 _2ddc
_cTH
999 _c50532
_d50532