000 03089cam a2200349 a 4500
003 EG-GiCUC
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008 180109s2017 ua db f m 000 0 eng d
040 _aEG-GiCUC
_beng
_cEG-GiCUC
041 0 _aeng
049 _aDeposite
097 _aM.Sc
099 _aCai01.19.02.M.Sc.2017.Mo.C
100 0 _aMohamed Mahmoud Abdelaziz Bendary
245 1 0 _aCurrent and future profile of cancer in Egypt in view of results of the national cancer registry and the demographic transition model /
_cMohamed Mahmoud Abdelaziz Bendary ; Supervised Amal Samy Ibrahim , Inas Ahmed Anwar Elattar , Dalia Negm Eldin Mohamed
246 1 5 _aالصورة الحالية والمستقبلية للسرطان في مصر في ضوء نتائج التسجيل القومي للسرطان ونموذج التحول الديموغرافي
260 _aCairo :
_bMohamed Mahmoud Abdelaziz Bendary ,
_c2017
300 _a77 P. :
_bcharts , maps ;
_c25cm
502 _aThesis (M.Sc.) - Cairo University - National Cancer Institute - Department of Cancer Biology
520 _aBackground: Cancer is now the third leading cause of death worldwide. Proper understanding of the magnitude of cancer problem and its details depend on cancer registries. In depth analysis of available cancer registry national results is needed. Aim of work: The main objective of the current study is in-depth analysis of national cancer registry data to illustrate the future profile of cancer in Egypt up to 2050 based upon current incidence rates and demographic characteristics of the population Methods: The national age specific incidence rates for a specific age group was applied to the corresponding population structure of this age group to get incident cancer cases in a specific age group. Total incident cancer cases in a specific year is the sum of all incident cases of different age groups in this year. For estimation of number of cases due to population growth in a specific year, the population structure of that year was applied to incident cancer cases of the reference year then the resulting number was divided by population structure in the reference year. The remainder number of increase in cases in that year would be due to aging. Results: Total incident cancer cases in 2050 would increase about 170% relative to 2015, 32.8% of this increase would be due to population growth while aging of population would account for 67.1% of this increase. Childhood cancer would show an increase of only 9% compared to 300% increase in cancer of elderly. Aging of population .would affect profile of cancer in 2050
530 _aIssued also as CD
653 4 _aCancer
653 4 _aDemographic transition model (DTM)
653 4 _aNational cancer registry program of Egypt (NCRPE)
700 0 _aAmal Samy Ibrahim ,
_eSupervisor
700 0 _aDalia Negm Eldin Mohamed ,
_eSupervisor
700 0 _aInas Ahmed Anwar Elattar ,
_eSupervisor
856 _uhttp://172.23.153.220/th.pdf
905 _aNazla
_eRevisor
905 _aShimaa
_eCataloger
942 _2ddc
_cTH
999 _c64502
_d64502